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Probability Calculator

Calculate probabilities of single and multiple events.

Two events
%
%

Both occur — P(A and B)

15.00%

assuming independence

Either — P(A or B)

65.00%

Neither

35.00%

Exactly one

50.00%

Not A

70.00%

The two master rules

For independent events, 'and' multiplies: P(A)×P(B). 'Or' adds but removes the double-counted overlap: P(A)+P(B)−P(A)P(B). Everything here derives from those two rules plus complements (P(not A) = 1 − P(A)).

Independence is an assumption

These formulas require that A doesn't influence B. Rain and umbrella-carrying aren't independent; coin flips are. When events are linked, you need conditional probability — P(A and B) = P(A)×P(B given A) — and the numbers can shift dramatically.

Frequently asked questions

How does the Probability Calculator work?
Calculate probabilities of single and multiple events.
Is the Probability Calculator free to use?
Yes. The Probability Calculator is completely free, runs entirely in your browser, and requires no account or sign-up. Your inputs never leave your device.

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